A pair of researchers from the University of Tsukuba in Japan recently built an AI-powered cryptocurrency portfolio management system that utilizes on-chain data for training, the first of its kind according to the scientists.
Called CryptoRLPM, short for “Cryptocurrency reinforcement learning portfolio manager,” the AI system utilizes a training technique called “reinforcement learning” to implement on-chain data into its model.
Reinforcement learning (RL) is an optimization paradigm wherein an AI system interacts with its environment — in this case, a cryptocurrency portfolio — and updates its training based on reward signals.
CryptoRLPM applies feedback from RL throughout its architecture. The system is structured into five primary units which work together to process information and manage structured portfolios.
These modules include a Data Feed Unit, Data Refinement Unit, Portfolio Agent Unit, Live Trading Unit, and an Agent Updating Unit.
Once developed, the scientists tested CryptoRLPM by assigning it three portfolios. The first contained only Bitcoin (BTC) and Storj (STORJ), the second kept BTC and STORJ while adding Bluzelle (BLZ), and the third kept all three alongside Chainlink (LINK).
The experiments were conducted over a period lasting from October of 2020 to September of 2022 with three distinct phases (training, validation, backtesting.)
The researchers measured the success of CryptoRLPM against a baseline evaluation of standard market performance through three metrics: “accumulated rate of return” (AAR), “daily rate of return” (DRR), and “Sortino ratio” (SR).
AAR and DRR are at-a-glance measures of how much an asset has lost or gained in a given time period and the SR measures an asset’s risk-adjusted return.
According to the scientists’ pre-print research paper, CryptoRLPM demonstrates significant improvements over baseline performance:
“Specifically, CryptoRLPM shows at least a 83.14% improvement in ARR, at least a 0.5603% improvement in DRR, and at least a 2.1767 improvement in SR, compared to the baseline Bitcoin.”